Football Mar 22, 2026

Fifth Champions League place: England still in good position in coefficient table for extra spot despite last-16 eliminations

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By Admin
Sports Journalist
Fifth Champions League place: England still in good position in coefficient table for extra spot despite last-16 eliminations

Premier League sides recovered from the disappointment of four Champions League last-16 exits to reassert their control in the race for an extra qualification spot in Europe's premier competition.

Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest sealed their place in the Europa League quarter-finals, while Crystal Palace progressed to the last eight teams remaining in the Conference League.

Despite last-16 exits for Chelsea, Manchester City, Newcastle and Tottenham, England is still comfortably on top of the UEFA coefficient table thanks to Thursday's results.

The top two nations in the rankings earn an extra Champions League qualification spot through the league.

England have five sides remaining in European competition with Arsenal and Liverpool progressing in the Champions League, which almost guarantees that fifth in the Premier League will be enough to qualify for Europe's top competition.

Here, we look into how the table is shaping up.

Each nation is awarded points based on the performance of their clubs in the Champions League, Europa League and Conference League.

Its points totals are then divided by the number of clubs it has competing in European competition, with nations ranked in the table by their average scores.

Wins are worth two coefficient points, draws are worth one, and defeats are worth none.

Additionally, bonus points are awarded according for finishing positions in the league phase tables, and progress through each knockout round.

The bonus points are far higher in the Champions League compared to the other two competitions.

The team finishing top of the Champions League phase table earns 12 bonus points, compared to six for the team finishing top of the Europa League league phase table, and four for the team finishing top of the Conference League league phase table.

Despite two thirds of England's Champions League teams being eliminated, England is in a stronger position in the standings thanks to Thursday's results.

All of the Europa League and Conference League teams from England progressed, which keeps the Premier League representation at five teams.

Meanwhile, third-placed Germany, who are more than five points adrift, went from four to three teams after Porto eliminated Stuttgart.

Second-placed Spain are more than four points behind England but have six teams left in the competition.

England is also six points ahead of fourth-placed Portugal, but fifth-placed Italy cannot overtake England in the rankings now, with every single Serie A team now eliminated from the Champions League.

There were concerns around England's ability to maintain their spot in the top two due to the precarious positions Nottingham Forest, Aston Villa and Crystal Palace found themselves in.

However, their progresssion ensures England have superiority over Germany in terms of representation.

Also, closest coefficient rival, Spain, is weakened by the fact that Barcelona and Atletico Madrid face each other in the quarter-finals - so one LaLiga team will definitely be eliminated.

The other Spanish team in the Champions League - Real Madrid - faces a German side in Bayern Munich in the quarter-finals. Looking at the coefficient table, that also suits England's case.

Spanish side Celta Vigo also face Germany's Freiburg in the Europa League last eight in a further boost to England's chances.

Real Betis and Celta Vigo are set to meet in the semi-final stage, if they get that far, which also boosts England - who can still have an all-English Champions League final between Arsenal and Liverpool.

England's chances of keeping Portugal at bay are also in its own hands, should Arsenal beat Sporting CP in the Champions League quarter-finals.

Should Aston Villa or Nottingham Forest reach the Europa League final, that also means they would have fared better than FC Porto, who are on their side of the draw.

Yes, England are not mathematically assured of a fifth Champions League place - but they are basically there. England's points tally is already superior to last season's second place.

In the 2023/24 season, England was - like this year - destined for an extra Champions League place but then Arsenal, Manchester City and West Ham were all knocked out of their European quarter-finals, which ended up costing England.

So there is still a bit of work for Arsenal, Liverpool and the remaining Europa and Conference League teams to do to get that extra spot at Europe's top table. But England is nearly over the line.

Liverpool are currently fifth in the Premier League, one point ahead of sixth-placed Chelsea and four ahead of seventh-placed Brentford.

According to Opta, the top two - Arsenal, Manchester City - have a 100 per cent chance of finishing in the top five, while Manchester United and Aston Villa are highly likely to finish in those slots.

Liverpool still have 62.4 per cent chance, which contrasts massively to Chelsea's chances, which sit at 46.7 per cent. Brentford, Newcastle, Everton and Brighton have much smaller chances.

There is a scenario where seven Premier League teams could qualify for the Champions League.

Should Liverpool win the Champions League and Aston Villa win the Europa League - and then both teams finish outside the top five - then England could have seven teams in the Champions League.

For example, that scenario could look like:

3rd: Manchester United

4th: Chelsea

5th: Brentford

6th Aston Villa (Europa League winners)

7th: Liverpool (Champions League winners)

All the above teams would be in the Champions League, alongside the top two teams in Arsenal and Man City.

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